Title China's Road Traffic Mortality Rate and Its Empirical Research from Socio-Economic Factors Based on the Tobit Model
Authors Zeng, Liangen
Li, Haitao
Lao, Xin
Hu, Haoyu
Wei, Yonggui
Li, Chengming
Yuan, Xinyue
Guo, Dongxu
Liu, Kexin
Affiliation Peking Univ Coll, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
Tsinghua Univ, Sch Social Sci, Dept Int Relat, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
China Univ Geosci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
Guangxi Univ Finance & Econ, Guangxi ASEAN Financial Res Ctr, Nanning 530007, Peoples R China
Minzu Univ China, Sch Econ, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
Cent Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Insurance, Beijing 100098, Peoples R China
Peking Univ Hlth Sci Ctr, Sch Publ Hlth, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
Peking Univ, Guanghua Sch Management, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
Keywords ACCIDENT RISK
HEALTH-CARE
SAFETY
FATALITIES
PATTERNS
Issue Date Aug-2022
Publisher SYSTEMS
Abstract Road transport safety is an important part of transport construction in China. China is now the world's second-largest country for road traffic deaths. Research on the road traffic mortality rate (RTMR) in China is of great significance in promoting sustainable development in global traffic. This study analyzes the RTMR in 31 provinces in China between 2003 and 2018. Research shows that the RTMR of China demonstrated a downward trend after 2004, but it increased slightly after reaching the lowest points in 2015. The RTMR in coastal and western areas was quite high, requiring targeted management and prevention. During the study period, the RTMR in Guangdong and Tibet improved greatly, whereas the RTMR in Hubei and Guangxi deteriorated. Tobit model results show that economic development level, medical assistance level and government expenditure on health are significantly negatively correlated with RTMR, while urbanization level and motorization level significantly promote RTMR. This study provides macro policy support for improving traffic safety in China.
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/652531
DOI 10.3390/systems10040122
Indexed SSCI
Appears in Collections: 城市与环境学院
医学部待认领
光华管理学院

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