Title Projected changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed in 1.5 degrees C-4.0 degrees C global warming levels
Authors Zha, Jinlin
Shen, Cheng
Li, Zhibo
Wu, Jian
Zhao, Deming
Fan, Wenxuan
Sun, Ming
Azorin-Molina, Cesar
Deng, Kaiqiang
Affiliation Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, CAS Key Lab Reg Climate & Environm Temperate East, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Yunnan Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Key Lab Atmospher Environm & Proc Boundary Layer, Kunming 650091, Yunnan, Peoples R China
Gaochun Meteorol Bur, Nanjing 211300, Peoples R China
Peking Univ, Sch Phys, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Lab Climate & Atmosphere Ocean Studies, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Joint Int Res Lab Climate & Environm Change, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster,Minist Educ, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China
Consejo Super Invest Cient CIDE CSIC, Ctr Invest Desertificac, Valencia, Spain
Univ Gothenburg, Reg Climate Grp, Dept Earth Sci, Gothenburg, Sweden
Keywords LAND-USE
NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE
EASTERN CHINA
COVER CHANGE
VARIABILITY
REANALYSIS
TRENDS
FRICTION
RECOVERY
INCREASE
Issue Date Nov-2021
Publisher ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Abstract Understanding future changes in global terrestrial near-surface wind speed (NSWS) in specific global warming level (GWL) is crucial for climate change adaption. Previous studies have projected the NSWS changes; however, the changes of NSWS with different GWLs have yet to be studied. In this paper, we employ the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model large ensembles to evaluate the contributions of different GWLs to the NSWS changes. The results show that the NSWS decreases over the Northern Hemisphere (NH) mid-to-high latitudes and increases over the Southern Hemisphere (SH) as the GWL increases by 1.5 degrees C-4.0 degrees C relative to the preindustrial period, and that these characteristics are more significant with the stronger GWL. The probability density of the NSWS shifts toward weak winds over NH and strong winds over SH between the current climate and the 4.0 degrees C GWL. Compared to 1.5 degrees C GWL, the NSWS decreases -0.066 m s(-1) over NH and increases +0.065 m s(-1) over SH with 4.0 degrees C GWL, especially for East Asia and South America, the decrease and increase are most significant, which reach -0.21 and +0.093 m s(-1), respectively. Changes in the temperature gradient induced by global warming could be the primary factor causing the interhemispheric asymmetry of future NSWS changes. Intensified global warming induces the reduction in Hadley, Ferrell, and Polar cells over NH and the strengthening of the Hadley cell over SH could be another determinant of asymmetry changes in NSWS between two hemispheres.
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/627003
ISSN 1748-9326
DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2fdd
Indexed SCI(E)
Appears in Collections: 物理学院

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