Title The prediction value of Glasgow coma scale-pupils score in neurocritical patients: a retrospective study
Authors Lin, Yingxin
Zhang, Sheng
Zhang, Weixing
Wang, Xinxin
Huang, Lei
Luo, Hua
Affiliation Peking Univ, Shenzhen Hosp, Dept Intens Care, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
Issue Date Feb-2021
Publisher BRAIN INJURY
Abstract Background External validation is necessary before its clinical recommendation in new setting. The aim is to externally validate Glasgow Coma Scale-pupils score (GCS-P) in neurocritical patients and to compare its performances with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and its derivatives. Methods GCS-P at admission was calculated for individual based on the model developed by Brennan et al. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs), Nagelkerke's R-2 and Brier scores were used to assess external validity of GCS-P to predict mortality in neurocritical patients and to compare predictive performance with GCS and its derivatives. Subjects 4372 neurocritical patients from intensive care units of Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, United States between 2001 and 2012. Results GCS-P showed good discrimination (AUC 0.847 for in-hospital mortality and 0.774 for ninety-day mortality), modest calibration (Nagelkerke's R2 33.1% for in-hospital mortality and 23.3% for ninety-day mortality). Predictive performances of GCS and its derivatives was inferior to GCS-P. Conclusions GCP-P discriminated well in between death in neurocritical patients. GCP-P improved predictive performance for short-term mortality over GCS and its derivatives in neurocritical patients. It would be a simple, early and reasonable daily routine option for prognosis assessment in neurocritical setting.
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/608665
ISSN 0269-9052
DOI 10.1080/02699052.2021.1890821
Indexed SCI(E)
SSCI
Appears in Collections: 深圳医院

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