Title | Real Estate Soars and Financial Crises: Recent Stories |
Authors | Jang, Hanwool Song, Yena Sohn, Sungbin Ahn, Kwangwon |
Affiliation | Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol, Grad Sch Future Strategy, Daejeon 34141, South Korea. Chonnam Natl Univ, Dept Geog, Gwangju 61186, South Korea. Peking Univ, HSBC Business Sch, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China. Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol, Grad Sch Future Strategy, Daejeon 34141, South Korea. Sohn, S (reprint author), Peking Univ, HSBC Business Sch, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China. |
Keywords | financial crash real estate bubble stock market BUBBLES POWER VOLATILITY SUBPRIME MODEL |
Issue Date | 2018 |
Publisher | SUSTAINABILITY |
Citation | SUSTAINABILITY. 2018, 10(12). |
Abstract | This paper studies the contribution of real estate bubble to a financial crisis. First, we document symptoms of a real estate bubble along with a slowdown of the real economy and find indicators of an imminent crash of the stock market, triggering a sense of deja vu from the 2008 crisis. However, we show that the relationship between real estate and financial markets has changed since the crisis. The empirical analyses provide evidence that the monetary policy has recovered its control over mortgage rates, which had been lost prior to the global financial crisis, and that the real estate market does not have a Granger causality relationship with the stock market any more. Findings suggest that an imminent financial market crash is not likely to be catalyzed by a real estate bubble. |
URI | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/571530 |
ISSN | 2071-1050 |
DOI | 10.3390/su10124559 |
Indexed | SCI(E) SSCI |
Appears in Collections: | 汇丰商学院 |