Title Potential of serum procalcitonin in predicting bacterial exacerbation and guiding antibiotic administration in severe COPD exacerbations: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Authors Ni, Wentao
Bao, Jing
Yang, Donghong
Xi, Wen
Wang, Keqiang
Xu, Yu
Zhang, Rongbao
Gao, Zhancheng
Affiliation Peking Univ, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Peoples Hosp, 11 South Ave, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
Keywords COPD
acute exacerbation
bacterial infection
procalcitonin
antibiotics
systematic review
Issue Date 2019
Publisher INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Abstract Background: The value of procalcitonin (PCT) in the diagnosis of bacterial infections and for determining antibiotic usage among patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is currently unclear. Methods: We systematically reviewed the literature and selected studies that evaluated PCT as a biomarker for predicting bacterial infection and compared PCT-based protocols to determine its application in the initiation or discontinuation of antibiotics. Guidance for systematic reviews from Cochrane and the GRADE were followed to perform this study. Data were pooled and analyzed by using a random-effects or a fixed-effects model based on the heterogeneity. Results: The pooled sensitivity and specificity of PCT in diagnosing respiratory bacterial infections were 0.60 and 0.76, respectively, with the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.77. Subgroup analysis showed that the sensitivity and specificity of PCT for patients in ICU were 0.48 and 0.69, respectively. PCT-based protocols decreased antibiotic prescription (relative risk = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.62-0.71) and total antibiotic exposure (mean difference = -2.60, 95% CI: -4.48-0.72), without affecting clinical outcomes such as treatment failure, length of hospitalization and rates of re-exacerbation or overall mortality. Conclusions: PCT has a moderate ability to distinguish bacterial respiratory infection in patients with AECOPD. PCT-guided algorithm can reduce unnecessary administration of antibiotics without increasing adverse outcomes. However, for patients requiring admission in the ICU, PCT may have a poor diagnostic value, and the PCT-guided algorithm may not effectively and safely reduce the antibiotic exposure.
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/546529
ISSN 2374-4235
DOI 10.1080/23744235.2019.1644456
Indexed SCI(E)
Appears in Collections: 人民医院

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