Title A novel scoring system to predict ascites development post hepatectomy for BCLC stage B hepatocellular carcinoma
Authors Qian, Hong-Gang
Wu, Li-Ying
Li, Cheng-Peng
Lv, Ang
Wu, Jian-Hui
Liu, Bo-Nan
Tian, Xiu-Yun
Xu, Wei
Hao, Chun-Yi
Affiliation Peking Univ, Canc Hosp & Inst, Dept Hepatopancreatobiliary Surg, Key Lab Carcinogenesis & Translat Res Minist Educ, 52 Fucheng Rd, Beijing 100142, Peoples R China.
Saskatchewan Hlth Qual Council, Saskatoon, SK, Canada.
Keywords Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)
ascites
prediction
scoring system
hepatectomy
CLINICAL-PRACTICE GUIDELINES
HEPATITIS-C PATIENTS
LIVER RESECTION
RISK-FACTORS
CIRRHOSIS
MANAGEMENT
VIRUS
ASSOCIATION
FIBROSIS
MORTALITY
Issue Date 2018
Publisher TRANSLATIONAL CANCER RESEARCH
Citation TRANSLATIONAL CANCER RESEARCH. 2018, 7(1), 180-188.
Abstract Background: To develop a novel scoring system to predict the development of post-operative ascites by analyzing clinicopathological characteristics and risk factors of BCLC stage B hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods: Prospective analysis was performed on consecutive patients with BCLC stage B hepatocellular carcinoma, who underwent hepatectomy from January 2005 to December 2014. Results: A total of 181 patients were enrolled, of whom 34.3% (62/181) developed post-operative ascites. Comparing with patients without ascites, patients who developed ascites had longer drain placement, more incidence of pleural effusion, more incidence of intra-abdominal infection and longer inpatient stay. All differences were statistically significant (P<0.01). A univariate analysis showed that the following factors were associated with the development of ascites: gender, prothrombin time (PT), prothrombin activity (PTA), platelet count (PLT), aspartate transaminase (AST), duration of operation, future liver remnant (FLR) <50%, blood loss, and transfusion of plasma or red blood cells during operation. On multivariate analysis, PLT, FLR <50%, transfusion of plasma or red blood cell during operation were independently associated with post-operative ascites accumulation. A predictive scoring system was established using the factors above and the patients with scores >= 5 had high risk of developing post-operative ascites [sensitivity =96.8%, specificity =90.8%, and area under the curve (AUC) =0.972]. Conclusions: The development of post-operative ascites was associated with various clinicopathological factors. The scoring system, which incorporates these factors, provided a valuable means for predicting the development of post-operative ascites. Early identification of these at-risk patients might help to improve their perioperative outcome.
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/506941
ISSN 2218-676X
DOI 10.21037/tcr.2018.01.35
Indexed SCI(E)
Appears in Collections: 北京肿瘤医院

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