| Title | Assessment of the ripple effects and spatial heterogeneity of total losses in the capital of China after a great catastrophic shock |
| Authors | Zhang, Zhengtao Li, Ning Xie, Wei Liu, Yu Feng, Jieling Chen, Xi Liu, Li |
| Affiliation | Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Processes & Resource, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, MOE, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Fac Geog Sci, Minist Civil Affairs, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Minist Educ, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. Peking Univ, Sch Adv Agr Sci, China Ctr Agr Policy, No 5 Yiheyuan Rd, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China. Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China. Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Processes & Resource, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. Li, N (reprint author), Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, MOE, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. Zhang, ZT Li, N (reprint author), Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Fac Geog Sci, Minist Civil Affairs, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. Zhang, ZT Li, N (reprint author), Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Minist Educ, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. |
| Keywords | INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL ECONOMIC-IMPACT EARTHQUAKE DISRUPTIONS DISASTERS COSTS |
| Issue Date | 2017 |
| Publisher | NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES |
| Citation | NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES.2017,17(3),367-379. |
| Abstract | The total losses caused by natural disasters have spatial heterogeneity due to the different economic development levels inside the disaster-hit areas. This paper uses scenarios of direct economic loss to introduce the sectors' losses caused by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake (2008 WCE) in Beijing, utilizing the Adaptive Regional Input-Output (ARIO) model and the Inter-regional ripple effect (IRRE) model. The purpose is to assess the ripple effects of indirect economic loss and spatial heterogeneity of both direct and indirect economic loss at the scale of the smallest administrative divisions of China (streets, villages, and towns). The results indicate that the district of Beijing with the most severe indirect economic loss is the Chaoyang District; the finance and insurance industry (15, see Table 1) of Chaowai Street suffers the most in the Chaoyang District, which is 1.46 times that of its direct economic loss. During 2008-2014, the average annual GDP (gross domestic product) growth rate of Beijing was decreased 3.63% by the catastrophe. Compared with the 8% of GDP growth rate target, the decreasing GDP growth rate is a significant and noticeable economic impact, and it can be efficiently mitigated by increasing rescue effort and by supporting the industries which are located in the seriously damaged regions. |
| URI | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/469318 |
| ISSN | 1561-8633 |
| DOI | 10.5194/nhess-17-367-2017 |
| Indexed | SCI(E) SSCI |
| Appears in Collections: | 现代农学院 |
