Title | Economic Impacts from PM2.5 Pollution-Related Health Effects: A Case Study in Shanghai |
Authors | Wu, Rui Dai, Hancheng Geng, Yong Xie, Yang Masui, Toshihiko Liu, Zhiqing Qian, Yiying |
Affiliation | Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Appl Ecol, Key Lab Pollut Ecol & Environm Engn, 72 Wenhua Rd, Shenyang 110016, Peoples R China. Peking Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, 5 Yiheyuan Rd, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China. Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, 800 Dongchuan Rd, Shanghai 200240, Peoples R China. Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, China Inst Urban Governance, 800 Dongchuan Rd, Shanghai 200240, Peoples R China. Natl Inst Environm Studies, Social & Environm Syst Div, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan. Univ Chinese Acad Sci, 19A Yuquan Rd, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China. Tokyo Inst Technol, Dept Social Engn, Meguro Ku, 2-12-1 Ookayama, Tokyo 1528550, Japan. Peking Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, 5 Yiheyuan Rd, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China. Geng, Y (reprint author), Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, 800 Dongchuan Rd, Shanghai 200240, Peoples R China. Geng, Y (reprint author), Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, China Inst Urban Governance, 800 Dongchuan Rd, Shanghai 200240, Peoples R China. |
Keywords | PARTICULATE AIR-POLLUTION LONG-TERM EXPOSURE GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS GLOBAL BURDEN CLIMATE-CHANGE PUBLIC-HEALTH LUNG-CANCER CO-BENEFITS MORTALITY CHINA |
Issue Date | 2017 |
Publisher | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY |
Citation | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY.2017,51(9),5035-5042. |
Abstract | PM2.5 pollution-related diseases cause additional medical expenses and work time loss, leading to macroeconomic impact in high PM2.5 concentration areas. Previous economic impact assessments of air pollution focused on benefits from environmental regulations while ignoring climate policies. In this study, we examine the health and economic impacts from PM2.5 pollution under various air pollution control strategies and climate policies scenarios in the megacity of Shanghai. The estimation adopts an integrated model combining a Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies (GAINS) model, exposure-response functions (ERFs), and a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The results show that without control measures, Shanghais mortality caused by PM2.5 pollution are estimated to be 192?400 cases in 2030 and the work time loss to be 72.1 h/cap annually. The corresponding GDP values and welfare losses would be approximately 2.26% and 3.14%, respectively. With an estimated control cost of 0.76% of local GDP, Shanghai would gain approximately 1.01% of local GDP through local air pollution control measures and climate policies. Furthermore, the application of multiregional integrated control strategies in neighboring provinces would be the most effective in reducing PM2.5 concentration in Shanghai, leading to only 0.34% of GDP loss. At the sectoral level, labor-intensive sectors suffer more output loss from PM2.5 pollution. Sectors with the highest control costs include power generation, iron and steel, and transport. The results indicate that the combination of multiregional integrated air pollution control strategies and climate policies would be cost-beneficial for Shanghai. |
URI | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/469198 |
ISSN | 0013-936X |
DOI | 10.1021/acs.est.7b00026 |
Indexed | SCI(E) SSCI |
Appears in Collections: | 环境科学与工程学院 |