Title Effects of diabetes definition on global surveillance of diabetes prevalence and diagnosis: a pooled analysis of 96 population-based studies with 331288 participants
Authors Danaei, Goodarz
Fahimi, Saman
Lu, Yuan
Zhou, Bin
Hajifathalian, Kaveh
Di Cesare, Mariachiara
Lo, Wei-Cheng
Reis-Santos, Barbara
Cowan, Melanie J.
Shaw, Jonathan E.
Bentham, James
Lin, John K.
Bixby, Honor
Magliano, Dianna
Bovet, Pascal
Miranda, J. Jaime
Khang, Young-Ho
Stevens, Gretchen A.
Riley, Leanne M.
Ali, Mohammed K.
Ezzati, Majid
Abdeen, Ziad A.
Kadir, Khalid Abdul
Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M.
Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin
Aekplakorn, Wichai
Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A.
Ahmadvand, Alireza
Al Nsour, Mohannad
Alker
Affiliation Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Boston, MA USA.
Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, London W2 1PG, England.
Natl Taiwan Univ, Taipei, Taiwan.
Univ Fed Pelotas, Capao Do Leao, RS, Brazil.
World Hlth Org, Geneva, Switzerland.
Baker IDI Heart & Diabet Inst, Melbourne, Vic, Australia.
Univ San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94117 USA.
Univ Lausanne, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland.
Minist Hlth, Victoria, Seychelles.
Univ Peruana Cayetano Heredia, San Martin De Porres, Peru.
Seoul Natl Univ, Seoul 151, South Korea.
Emory Univ, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA.
Al Quds Univ, Jerusalem, Israel.
Monash Univ Malaysia, Subang Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia.
Birzeit Univ, Jerusalem, Israel.
Inst Mexicano Seguro Social, Mexico City, DF, Mexico.
Mahidol Univ, Bangkok 10700, Thailand.
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Mexico City, DF, Mexico.
Univ Tehran Med Sci, Tehran, Iran.
Eastern Mediterranean Publ Hlth Network, Amman, Jordan.
Luxembourg Hlth Inst, Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Lille Univ & Hosp, Lille, France.
Univ Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Norwegian Sch Sport Sci, Oslo, Norway.
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Madras Diabet Res Fdn, Madras, Tamil Nadu, India.
Natl Inst Publ Hlth, Tunis, Tunisia.
Minist Hlth Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Indian Council Med Res, Madras, Tamil Nadu, India.
Strasbourg Univ & Hosp, Strasbourg, France.
Hlth Populat Transit Res Grp, Yaounde, Cameroon.
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Med Univ Gdansk, Gdansk, Poland.
Univ Palermo, I-90133 Palermo, Italy.
Pan Amer Hlth Org, New York, NY USA.
Jordan Univ Sci & Technol, Amman, Jordan.
Univ Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia.
Univ Tunis El Manar, Tunis, Tunisia.
Univ Peruana Cayetano Heredia, San Martin De Porres, Peru.
Sunder Lal Jain Hosp, Delhi, India.
Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Shanghai 200030, Peoples R China.
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NatCen Social Res, London, England.
Natl Inst Publ Hlth & Environm, Bilthoven, Netherlands.
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Nanyang Technol Univ, Singapore 639798, Singapore.
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Univ Lausanne, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland.
Minist Hlth, Victoria, Seychelles.
Cent Univ Venezuela, Caracas, Venezuela.
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Fred Hollows Fdn New Zealand, Auckland, New Zealand.
Canarian Hlth Serv, Santa Cruz De Tenerife, Spain.
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Univ Porto, P-4100 Oporto, Portugal.
Univ Santiago de Compostela, Santiago De Compostela, Spain.
Associaz Calabrese Epatol, Reggio Di Calabria, Italy.
French Inst Hlth Surveillance, St Maurice, France.
India Diabet Res Fdn, Madras, Tamil Nadu, India.
Acad Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
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Med Univ Silesia, Katowice, Poland.
Charles Univ Prague, Prague, Czech Republic.
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Agcy Prevent & Social Med, Bregenz, Austria.
Univ Southampton, Southampton SO9 5NH, Hants, England.
UCL, London WC1E 6BT, England.
IRCCS, Ist Neurol Mediterraneo Neuromed, Milan, Italy.
Inst Pasteur, Lille, France.
Westmead Univ Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
CIBERobn, Madrid, Spain.
CNR, Rome, Italy.
Inst Pasteur, Lille, France.
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Madras Diabet Res Fdn, Madras, Tamil Nadu, India.
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Minist St & Lutte Sida, Abidjan, Cote Ivoire.
Cardinal Wyszynski Inst Cardiol, Warsaw, Poland.
Robert Koch Inst, Berlin, Germany.
Univ Benin, Coll Med Sci, Benin, Nigeria.
Univ Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Natl Inst Nutr & Food Technol, Tunis, Tunisia.
Inst Hosp Mar Invest Mar, Barcelona, Spain.
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Inst Mexicano Seguro Social, Mexico City, DF, Mexico.
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Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Univ Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England.
Agcy Prevent & Social Med, Bregenz, Austria.
Univ Sains Malaysia, Gelugor, Penang, Malaysia.
World Hlth Org Reg Off Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.
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Kyoto Univ, Kyoto 6068501, Japan.
Med Univ Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.
Jagiellonian Univ, Coll Med, PL-31007 Krakow, Poland.
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Australian Bur Stat, Canberra, ACT, Australia.
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Lille Univ Hosp, Lille, France.
Univ Politecn Madrid, E-28040 Madrid, Spain.
Andes Clin Cardio Metab Studies, Merida, Venezuela.
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Singapore Eye Res Inst, Singapore, Singapore.
Univ Icesi, Cali, Colombia.
Univ Estadual Montes Claros, Montes Claros, MG, Brazil.
Inst Clin Effectiveness & Hlth Policy, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina.
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Tulane Univ, New Orleans, LA 70118 USA.
Robert Koch Inst, Berlin, Germany.
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Birzeit Univ, Ramallah, Israel.
Int Agcy Res Canc, Lyon, France.
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IRCCS Ist Neurol Mediterraneo Neuromed, Milan, Italy.
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Cairo Univ, Cairo, Egypt.
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Heidelberg Univ, D-69115 Heidelberg, Germany.
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Univ Crete, Rethimnon, Greece.
Gertner Inst Epidemiol & Hlth Policy Res, Tel Hashomer, Israel.
Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USA.
Natl Inst Epidemiol, Madras, Tamil Nadu, India.
Isfahan Univ Med Sci, Esfahan, Iran.
South African Med Res Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
Res Inst Child Nutr, Dortmund, Germany.
Jordan Univ Sci & Technol, Yousef Saleh Khader, Irbid, Jordan.
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Med Univ Innsbruck, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria.
Natl Canc Ctr, Goyang Si, South Korea.
Kyushu Univ, Fukuoka 812, Japan.
Inst Trop Med, Antwerp, Belgium.
Tartu Univ Clin, Tartu, Estonia.
Natl Inst Hlth & Welf, Helsinki, Finland.
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Wageningen Univ, NL-6700 AP Wageningen, Netherlands.
Med Univ Lodz, Lodz, Poland.
Cardinal Wyszynski Inst Cardiol, Warsaw, Poland.
African Populat & Hlth Res Ctr, Nairobi, Kenya.
Natl Inst Publ Hlth, Algiers, Algeria.
Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
Minist Salud Publ, Havana, Cuba.
Inst Clin & Expt Med Prague, Prague, Czech Republic.
Sahlgrens Acad, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Indian Council Med Res, New Delhi, India.
Food & Agr Org, Rome, Italy.
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Tampere Univ Hosp, Tampere, Finland.
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Gothenburg Univ, S-41124 Gothenburg, Sweden.
Univ Med Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany.
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Univ Padua, I-35100 Padua, Italy.
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Ain Shams Univ, Cairo, Egypt.
Madras Diabet Res Fdn, Madras, Tamil Nadu, India.
Minist Hlth Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Univ Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Univ Pecs, Pecs, Hungary.
Mulago Hosp, Kampala, Uganda.
Univ Zaragoza, E-50009 Zaragoza, Spain.
PU RCSI Sch Med, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Harokopio Univ Athens, Athens, Greece.
Int Inst Mol & Cell Biol, Warsaw, Poland.
Ain Shams Univ, Cairo, Egypt.
Univ Brescia, I-25121 Brescia, Italy.
Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Munich, Germany.
Univ Eastern Finland, Joensuu, Finland.
Univ Ulm, D-89069 Ulm, Germany.
Reg Author Publ Hlth, Banska Bystrica, Slovakia.
Natl Univ Singapore, Singapore 117548, Singapore.
Suraj Eye Inst, Nagpur, Maharashtra, India.
CIBER Epidemiol & Salud Publ, Barcelona, Spain.
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Univ Pharm & Med Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam.
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Kyushu Univ, Fukuoka 812, Japan.
CNR, Rome, Italy.
Univ Palermo, I-90133 Palermo, Italy.
Univ Cuenca, Cuenca, Ecuador.
Korea Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Taejon, South Korea.
Istanbul Univ, Istanbul, Turkey.
MRC, Lifecourse Epidemiol Unit, London W1N 4AL, England.
Fdn Oftalmol Santander, Bucaramanga, Colombia.
Ist Super Sanita, Rome, Italy.
Univ Bari, I-70121 Bari, Italy.
Fed Minist Hlth, Sarajevo, Bosnia & Herceg.
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Cardinal Wyszynski Inst Cardiol, Warsaw, Poland.
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Inst Clin Effectiveness & Hlth Policy, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina.
Univ Madeira, Funchal, Portugal.
Inst Mexicano Seguro Social, Mexico City, DF, Mexico.
Med Univ Gdansk, Gdansk, Poland.
Sitaram Bhartia Inst Sci & Res, New Delhi, India.
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Marmara Univ, Kadikoy, Turkey.
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Emory Univ, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA.
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Natl Inst Hyg, Warsaw, Poland.
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Karadeniz Tech Univ, Trabzon, Turkey.
Area Salut Menorca, Menorca, Spain.
Inst Rech Dev, Paris, France.
Minist Hlth, Wellington, New Zealand.
Meharry Med Coll, Nashville, TN USA.
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Minist Hlth, Victoria, Seychelles.
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Beijing Tongren Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China.
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Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
Univ Oxford, Oxford OX1 2JD, England.
Univ Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England.
Kailuan Gen Hosp, Tangshan, Hebei, Peoples R China.
Minist Agr, Inst Food & Nutr Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Univ Padua, I-35100 Padua, Italy.
Ctr Diabet & Endocrine Care, Bangalore, Karnataka, India.
Med Univ Gdansk, Gdansk, Poland.
Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Keywords FASTING PLASMA-GLUCOSE
HEMOGLOBIN A(1C) MEASUREMENT
GLYCATED HEMOGLOBIN
CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE
WORLDWIDE STANDARDIZATION
CONSENSUS STATEMENT
SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS
INSULIN-RESISTANCE
SCREENING-TEST
TOLERANCE TEST
Issue Date 2015
Publisher LANCET DIABETES & ENDOCRINOLOGY
Citation LANCET DIABETES & ENDOCRINOLOGY.2015,3,(8),624-637.
Abstract Background Diabetes has been defined on the basis of different biomarkers, including fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2-h plasma glucose in an oral glucose tolerance test (2hOGTT), and HbA(1c). We assessed the effect of different diagnostic definitions on both the population prevalence of diabetes and the classification of previously undiagnosed individuals as having diabetes versus not having diabetes in a pooled analysis of data from population-based health examination surveys in different regions. Methods We used data from 96 population-based health examination surveys that had measured at least two of the biomarkers used for defining diabetes. Diabetes was defined using HbA(1c) (HbA(1c) >= 6 . 5% or history of diabetes diagnosis or using insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs) compared with either FPG only or FPG-or-2hOGTT definitions (FPG >= 7 . 0 mmol/L or 2hOGTT >= 11 . 1 mmol/L or history of diabetes or using insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs). We calculated diabetes prevalence, taking into account complex survey design and survey sample weights. We compared the prevalences of diabetes using different definitions graphically and by regression analyses. We calculated sensitivity and specificity of diabetes diagnosis based on HbA1c compared with diagnosis based on glucose among previously undiagnosed individuals (ie, excluding those with history of diabetes or using insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs). We calculated sensitivity and specificity in each survey, and then pooled results using a random-effects model. We assessed the sources of heterogeneity of sensitivity by meta-regressions for study characteristics selected a priori. Findings Population prevalence of diabetes based on FPG- or-2hOGTT was correlated with prevalence based on FPG alone (r= 0 . 98), but was higher by 2-6 percentage points at different prevalence levels. Prevalence based on HbA(1c) was lower than prevalence based on FPG in 42 . 8% of age-sex-survey groups and higher in another 41 . 6%; in the other 15 . 6%, the two definitions provided similar prevalence estimates. The variation across studies in the relation between glucose-based and HbA(1c)-based prevalences was partly related to participants' age, followed by natural logarithm of per person gross domestic product, the year of survey, mean BMI, and whether the survey population was national, subnational, or from specific communities. Diabetes defined as HbA(1c) 6 . 5% or more had a pooled sensitivity of 52 . 8% (95% CI 51 . 3-54 . 3%) and a pooled specificity of 99 . 74% (99 . 71-99 . 78%) compared with FPG 7 . 0 mmol/L or more for diagnosing previously undiagnosed participants; sensitivity compared with diabetes defined based on FPG-or-2hOGTT was 30 . 5% (28 . 7-32 . 3%). None of the preselected study-level characteristics explained the heterogeneity in the sensitivity of HbA(1c) versus FPG. Interpretation Different biomarkers and definitions for diabetes can provide different estimates of population prevalence of diabetes, and differentially identify people without previous diagnosis as having diabetes. Using an HbA(1c)-based definition alone in health surveys will not identify a substantial proportion of previously undiagnosed people who would be considered as having diabetes using a glucose-based test.
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/417748
ISSN 2213-8587
DOI 10.1016/S2213-8587(15)00129-1
Indexed SCI(E)
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