| Title | Adaptive modeling of the human-environment relationship applied to estimation of the population carrying capacity in an earthquake zone |
| Authors | Wang, Jin-Feng Liao, Yi-Lan Wang, Jiao-Jiao Fan, Jie Chen, Tian Gao, Xiao-Lu Cao, Zhi-Dong Hu, Mao-Gui Ge, Yong Zheng, Xiao-Ying |
| Affiliation | Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China. Peking Univ, Inst Populat Sci, Beijing 100187, Peoples R China. Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, A11 Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China. |
| Keywords | Human-environment relationship Hazards Population displacement Data adaptive modeling SYSTEMS |
| Issue Date | 2012 |
| Publisher | population and environment |
| Citation | POPULATION AND ENVIRONMENT.2012,33,(2-3,SI),233-242. |
| Abstract | Natural catastrophes such as earthquakes can, in addition to causing loss of life, disrupt the urbanization process through the need for forced population redistribution and the modification of resource and environmental carrying capacity. The population carrying capacity (PCC) of an altered environment following an earthquake is a crucial determinant in the relocation of displaced persons. We use data adaptive methods to model the correlation between the physical environment and human population density in estimating PCC in areas affected by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake. Comparing actual population distributions with ideal population distributions allows for the identification of villages where population exceeds PCC, or conversely, areas where the environment can support a higher population. Such a comparison can provide the basis for a relocation plan, a critical element of post-catastrophe policy-making. |
| URI | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/260662 |
| ISSN | 0199-0039 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11111-011-0143-3 |
| Indexed | SSCI |
| Appears in Collections: | 人口研究所 |
