Title Assessing local determinants of neural tube defects in the Heshun Region, Shanxi Province, China
Authors Wang, Jin-Feng
Liu, Xin
Christakos, George
Liao, Yi-Lan
Gu, Xue
Zheng, Xiao-Ying
Affiliation Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China.
San Diego State Univ, Dept Geog, San Diego, CA 92182 USA.
Beijing Inst Pediat, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China.
Peking Univ, Inst Populat Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China.
Keywords BIRTH-DEFECTS
HIGH-PREVALENCE
PUBLIC-HEALTH
RISK-FACTORS
POPULATION
AREA
DEFICIENCY
CHALLENGES
RATES
WATER
Issue Date 2010
Publisher bmc public health
Citation BMC PUBLIC HEALTH.2010,10.
Abstract Background: Neural tube defect (NTD) prevalence in northern China is among the highest worldwide. Dealing with the NTD situation is ranked as the number one task in China's scientific development plan in population and health field for the next decade. Physical and social environments account for much of the disease's occurrence. The environmental determinants and their effects on NTD vary across geographical regions, whereas factors that play a significant role in NTD occurrence may be buried by global statistics analysis to a pooled dataset over the entire study area. This study aims at identification of the local determinants of NTD across the study area and exploration of the epidemiological implications of the findings. Methods: NTD prevalence rate is represented in terms of the random field theory, and Rushton's circle method is used to stabilize NTD rate estimation across the geographical area of interest; NTD determinants are represented by their measurable proxy variables and the geographical weighted regression (GWR) technique is used to represent the spatial heterogeneity of the NTD determinants. Results: Informative maps of the NTD rates and the statistically significant proxy variables are generated and rigorously assessed in quantitative terms. Conclusions: The NTD determinants in the study area are investigated and interpreted on the basis of the maps of the proxy variables and the relationships between the proxy variables and the NTD determinants. No single determinant was found to dominate the NTD occurrence in the study area. Villages where NTD rates are significantly linked to environmental determinants are identified (some places are more closely linked to certain environmental factors than others). The results improve current understanding of NTD spread in China and provide valuable information for adequate disease intervention planning.
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/245431
ISSN 1471-2458
DOI 10.1186/1471-2458-10-52
Indexed SCI(E)
Appears in Collections: 人口研究所

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