Title Increasing eutrophication in the coastal seas of China from 1970 to 2050
Authors Strokal, Maryna
Yang, He
Zhang, Yinchen
Kroeze, Carolien
Li, Lili
Luan, Shengji
Wang, Huanzhi
Yang, Shunshun
Zhang, Yisheng
Affiliation Wageningen Univ, Environm Syst Anal Grp, NL-6708 PB Wageningen, Netherlands.
Open Univ Netherland, Fac Management Sci & Technol, Sch Sci, NL-6419 AT Heerlen, Netherlands.
Peking Univ, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China.
Wageningen Univ, Environm Syst Anal Grp, Droevendaalsesteeg 4, NL-6708 PB Wageningen, Netherlands.
Keywords Eutrophication
China
Seas
Riverine inputs of N, P and Si
N:P:Si ratio modeling
PEARL RIVER
FUTURE-TRENDS
NUTRIENT EXPORT
YANGTZE ESTUARY
ALGAL BLOOMS
FOOD-CHAIN
MANAGEMENT
NITROGEN
WATERS
PHOSPHORUS
Issue Date 2014
Publisher marine pollution bulletin
Citation MARINE POLLUTION BULLETIN.2014,85,(1),123-140.
Abstract We analyzed the potential for eutrophication in major seas around China: the Bohai Gulf, Yellow Sea and South China Sea. We model the riverine inputs of nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and silica (Si) to coastal seas from 1970 to 2050. Between 1970 and 2000 dissolved N and P inputs to the three seas increased by a factor of 2-5. In contrast, inputs of particulate N and P and dissolved Si, decreased due to damming of rivers. Between 2000 and 2050, the total N and P inputs increase further by 30-200%. Sewage is the dominant source of dissolved N and P in the Bohai Gulf, while agriculture is the primary source in the other seas. In the future, the ratios of Si to N and P decrease, which increases the risk of harmful algal blooms. Sewage treatment may reduce this risk in the Bohai Gulf, and agricultural management in the other seas. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/189325
ISSN 0025-326X
DOI 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2014.06.011
Indexed SCI(E)
EI
PubMed
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