Title | Increasing eutrophication in the coastal seas of China from 1970 to 2050 |
Authors | Strokal, Maryna Yang, He Zhang, Yinchen Kroeze, Carolien Li, Lili Luan, Shengji Wang, Huanzhi Yang, Shunshun Zhang, Yisheng |
Affiliation | Wageningen Univ, Environm Syst Anal Grp, NL-6708 PB Wageningen, Netherlands. Open Univ Netherland, Fac Management Sci & Technol, Sch Sci, NL-6419 AT Heerlen, Netherlands. Peking Univ, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China. Wageningen Univ, Environm Syst Anal Grp, Droevendaalsesteeg 4, NL-6708 PB Wageningen, Netherlands. |
Keywords | Eutrophication China Seas Riverine inputs of N, P and Si N:P:Si ratio modeling PEARL RIVER FUTURE-TRENDS NUTRIENT EXPORT YANGTZE ESTUARY ALGAL BLOOMS FOOD-CHAIN MANAGEMENT NITROGEN WATERS PHOSPHORUS |
Issue Date | 2014 |
Publisher | marine pollution bulletin |
Citation | MARINE POLLUTION BULLETIN.2014,85,(1),123-140. |
Abstract | We analyzed the potential for eutrophication in major seas around China: the Bohai Gulf, Yellow Sea and South China Sea. We model the riverine inputs of nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and silica (Si) to coastal seas from 1970 to 2050. Between 1970 and 2000 dissolved N and P inputs to the three seas increased by a factor of 2-5. In contrast, inputs of particulate N and P and dissolved Si, decreased due to damming of rivers. Between 2000 and 2050, the total N and P inputs increase further by 30-200%. Sewage is the dominant source of dissolved N and P in the Bohai Gulf, while agriculture is the primary source in the other seas. In the future, the ratios of Si to N and P decrease, which increases the risk of harmful algal blooms. Sewage treatment may reduce this risk in the Bohai Gulf, and agricultural management in the other seas. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
URI | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/189325 |
ISSN | 0025-326X |
DOI | 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2014.06.011 |
Indexed | SCI(E) EI PubMed |
Appears in Collections: | 待认领 |