Title Evidence on the impact of sustained exposure to air pollution on life expectancy from China's Huai River policy
Authors Chen, Yuyu
Ebenstein, Avraham
Greenstone, Michael
Li, Hongbin
Affiliation Peking Univ, Appl Econ Dept, Guanghua Sch Management, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China.
Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Dept Econ, IL-91905 Mt Scopus, Israel.
MIT, Dept Econ, Cambridge, MA 02142 USA.
Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.
Tsinghua Univ, China Data Ctr, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China.
Tsinghua Univ, Dept Econ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China.
Keywords airborne particulate matter
unintended consequences of policy
premature mortality
health costs of coal combustion
Chinese environmental quality
STROKE MORTALITY
UNITED-STATES
UTAH VALLEY
CITIES
Issue Date 2013
Publisher proceedings of the national academy of sciences of the united states of america
Citation PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.2013,110,(32),12936-12941.
Abstract This paper's findings suggest that an arbitrary Chinese policy that greatly increases total suspended particulates (TSPs) air pollution is causing the 500 million residents of Northern China to lose more than 2.5 billion life years of life expectancy. The quasi-experimental empirical approach is based on China's Huai River policy, which provided free winter heating via the provision of coal for boilers in cities north of the Huai River but denied heat to the south. Using a regression discontinuity design based on distance from the Huai River, we find that ambient concentrations of TSPs are about 184 mu g/m(3) [95% confidence interval (CI): 61, 307] or 55% higher in the north. Further, the results indicate that life expectancies are about 5.5 y (95% CI: 0.8, 10.2) lower in the north owing to an increased incidence of cardiorespiratory mortality. More generally, the analysis suggests that long-term exposure to an additional 100 mu g/m(3) of TSPs is associated with a reduction in life expectancy at birth of about 3.0 y (95% CI: 0.4, 5.6).
URI http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11897/163571
ISSN 0027-8424
DOI 10.1073/pnas.1300018110
Indexed SCI(E)
PubMed
SSCI
Appears in Collections: 光华管理学院

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